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Poll: Gotham AARP NYC Mayor Aug 2025
Poll: Gotham AARP NYC Mayor General Election 2025 — August
NYC Mayoral Election 2025 – August Poll Results
A new AARP / Gotham Polling survey of likely New York City voters shows Assemblymember Zohran Mamdani leading the crowded field for mayor with 42% support. Former Governor Andrew Cuomo follows with 23%, Curtis Sliwa with 17%, Mayor Eric Adams with 9%, and a combined 9% either undecided or preferring another candidate.
While Mamdani holds a clear lead, the race remains shaped by voter uncertainty and candidate overlap. More than one in four voters say they are undecided in certain match-ups, leaving room for shifts as the field evolves.
To test the dynamics of a fragmented race, the survey modeled six different scenarios in which one or more of the top contenders were removed from the ballot. In every case, Mamdani remained ahead — but the margins varied significantly depending on which candidates dropped out:
In multi-candidate matchups, Mamdani’s support holds firm around 40–42%.
Cuomo consistently emerges as the strongest challenger, consolidating more of the moderate and older voter base when others exit.
Even in a hypothetical one-on-one with Mamdani, Cuomo trails — though a large share of voters remain undecided, suggesting fluidity.
Sliwa and Adams attract narrower but distinct coalitions, with Sliwa drawing more Republican and outer-borough support, and Adams retaining core Democratic and Black voter backing.
The six scenarios highlight a central tension of the race: Mamdani may not have a ceiling to reach a true majority, but as long as the moderate vote remains split, his path to victory is wide open.
For full pdfs and spreadsheets https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/new-york-city-mayoral-poll-2025/
| Scenario 1: Cuomo drops out | Weighted % |
| Zohran Mamdani | 48% |
| Eric Adams | 17% |
| Curtis Sliwa | 21% |
| Jim Walden | 2% |
| Undecided | 11% |
| Another candidate | 0% |
| Scenario 2: Adams drops out | |
| Zohran Mamdani | 43% |
| Andrew Cuomo | 29% |
| Curtis Sliwa | 19% |
| Jim Walden | 2% |
| Undecided | 8% |
| Another candidate | 0% |
| Scenario 3: Sliwa drops out | |
| Zohran Mamdani | 45% |
| Andrew Cuomo | 28% |
| Eric Adams | 14% |
| Jim Walden | 2% |
| Undecided | 10% |
| Another candidate | 1% |
| Scenario 4: Cuomo, Adams, Walden drop — Mamdani vs Sliwa (+Undecided/Another) | |
| Zohran Mamdani | 44% |
| Curtis Sliwa | 21% |
| Undecided+Another | 34% |
| Scenario 5: Cuomo, Sliwa, Walden drop — Mamdani vs Adams (+Undecided/Another) | |
| Zohran Mamdani | 44% |
| Eric Adams | 20% |
| Undecided+Another | 36% |
| Scenario 6: Adams, Sliwa, Walden drop — Mamdani vs Cuomo (+Undecided/Another) | |
| Zohran Mamdani | 42% |
| Andrew Cuomo | 31% |
| Undecided+Another | 27% |
Q:1 Likelihood to Vote: How likely are you to vote in the New York City mayoral election this November?
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| Definitely will vote | 94.4% | 54.9% | 45.1% | 11.1% | 23.7% | 28.8% | 36.4% | 73.7% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 43.0% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 30.8% | 23.2% | 25.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 21.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 0.8% | 10.7% | 18.1% | 44.8% | 22.1% | 3.5% |
| Probably will vote | 5.6% | 44.3% | 55.7% | 14.8% | 26.7% | 38.2% | 20.3% | 70.4% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 39.7% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 5.4% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 27.3% | 14.6% | 34.5% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 23.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 22.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 24.3% | 18.7% | 33.1% | 15.3% | 5.9% |
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Q:2 Vote Intention: If the New York City mayoral election were held today, which candidate would you choose?
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| Zohran Mamdani | 41.8% | 55.4% | 44.6% | 21.1% | 31.3% | 24.5% | 23.1% | 90.9% | 1.5% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 44.8% | 21.8% | 17.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 12.0% | 37.3% | 23.2% | 23.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 22.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 51.9% | 24.0% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Cuomo | 23.4% | 61.9% | 38.1% | 2.4% | 15.8% | 36.6% | 45.2% | 75.3% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 1.9% | 36.6% | 24.7% | 12.5% | 5.0% | 15.1% | 6.3% | 15.4% | 23.5% | 31.2% | 25.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 22.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 19.0% | 1.2% | 9.1% | 18.9% | 45.8% | 22.0% | 3.0% |
| Curtis Sliwa | 16.5% | 45.5% | 54.5% | 3.6% | 18.2% | 33.9% | 44.3% | 32.5% | 45.1% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 55.6% | 5.9% | 19.4% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 27.4% | 9.0% | 31.5% | 20.3% | 2.9% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 20.0% | 0.9% | 23.8% | 26.6% | 31.3% | 13.2% | 4.1% |
| Eric Adams | 8.8% | 53.6% | 46.4% | 11.7% | 27.7% | 25.9% | 34.6% | 59.5% | 27.0% | 11.9% | 1.6% | 31.8% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 5.6% | 23.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 22.4% | 25.2% | 35.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 19.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 24.0% | 1.5% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 38.7% | 24.5% | 15.6% |
| Undecided | 7.9% | 55.0% | 45.0% | 2.2% | 19.7% | 25.0% | 53.1% | 76.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 37.3% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 23.6% | 23.5% | 28.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 20.5% | 10.7% | 23.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 16.8% | 1.8% | 12.3% | 25.1% | 35.7% | 23.0% | 2.1% |
| Jim Walden | 1.4% | 8.5% | 91.5% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 41.1% | 41.4% | 87.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 31.5% | 0.0% | 4.6% | 27.0% | 14.2% | 22.6% | 0.0% | 81.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.8% | 31.0% | 9.7% | 20.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 28.6% | 25.6% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Another candidate | 0.2% | 24.5% | 75.5% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 33.4% | 62.1% | 49.3% | 50.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 69.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 30.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 29.4% | 46.2% | 4.5% | 46.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 33.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 46.2% | 10.0% | 43.8% | 0.0% |
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Q:3 What if your candidate quits?If your preferred candidate withdrew from active campaigning but remained on the ballot, would you:
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| Vote for a different candidate | 63.6% | 50.1% | 49.9% | 4.7% | 21.7% | 33.0% | 40.7% | 56.4% | 24.2% | 15.9% | 3.5% | 44.6% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 3.9% | 18.0% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 27.2% | 23.2% | 29.0% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 21.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 19.2% | 1.0% | 11.1% | 19.6% | 43.7% | 19.6% | 5.0% |
| Still vote for them | 20.9% | 58.5% | 41.5% | 2.8% | 14.8% | 36.2% | 46.2% | 58.0% | 26.4% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 33.8% | 21.9% | 23.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 13.7% | 20.2% | 25.0% | 14.5% | 29.9% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 9.0% | 25.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 18.4% | 0.8% | 22.1% | 19.0% | 29.2% | 22.1% | 6.8% |
| Not sure | 11.2% | 60.9% | 39.1% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 40.2% | 46.4% | 67.3% | 22.3% | 9.2% | 1.2% | 40.8% | 20.1% | 6.8% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 23.5% | 27.9% | 21.5% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 27.1% | 14.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 24.8% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 27.8% | 27.6% | 17.8% | 6.9% |
| Not vote in the mayor's race | 4.3% | 60.4% | 39.6% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 21.6% | 51.9% | 76.2% | 14.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 42.9% | 20.0% | 21.0% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 25.4% | 30.5% | 32.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 27.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 9.1% | 21.9% | 0.0% | 15.2% | 21.6% | 51.3% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
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Q:4 Backup choice: Which candidate would you choose instead?
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % (Base N = 439) | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| Eric Adams | 35.4% | 49.4% | 50.6% | 4.1% | 17.8% | 40.5% | 37.6% | 41.8% | 33.1% | 21.4% | 3.7% | 47.8% | 5.4% | 13.8% | 0.6% | 24.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 31.3% | 27.2% | 20.2% | 13.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 21.9% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 21.1% | 1.7% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 47.4% | 21.4% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Cuomo | 24.0% | 49.1% | 50.9% | 6.7% | 27.6% | 28.7% | 37.0% | 62.9% | 21.2% | 13.3% | 2.7% | 42.6% | 4.2% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 22.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 29.5% | 18.4% | 35.6% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 22.4% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 1.7% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 34.8% | 23.3% | 9.6% |
| Zohran Mamdani | 8.4% | 59.2% | 40.8% | 1.4% | 21.7% | 23.5% | 53.4% | 90.7% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 3.7% | 15.2% | 69.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 16.7% | 38.1% | 10.8% | 32.1% | 2.3% | 16.8% | 7.9% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 0.0% | 2.3% | 42.4% | 32.3% | 14.8% | 8.2% |
| Curtis Sliwa | 15.4% | 43.6% | 56.4% | 8.0% | 23.3% | 36.7% | 32.0% | 54.7% | 26.8% | 17.5% | 1.0% | 45.3% | 7.2% | 18.4% | 0.8% | 24.9% | 3.4% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 27.9% | 38.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 24.7% | 15.7% | 2.8% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 53.1% | 11.9% | 5.6% |
| Undecided | 12.2% | 65.2% | 34.8% | 1.2% | 17.7% | 26.7% | 54.4% | 71.3% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 4.8% | 51.7% | 23.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 0.0% | 1.9% | 20.2% | 23.8% | 22.1% | 27.1% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 21.0% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 26.1% | 43.3% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Another candidate | 1.8% | 27.9% | 72.1% | 3.2% | 32.0% | 24.0% | 40.9% | 45.3% | 36.8% | 15.2% | 2.7% | 57.9% | 0.0% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.9% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 44.6% | 2.7% | 24.1% | 0.0% | 25.9% | 0.0% | 15.2% | 40.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 13.4% | 0.0% | 16.8% | 37.3% | 40.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Jim Walden | 2.8% | 25.3% | 74.7% | 2.4% | 22.9% | 15.0% | 59.7% | 32.5% | 33.4% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 66.5% | 24.2% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 23.8% | 15.3% | 48.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 13.2% | 27.5% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 25.3% | 0.0% | 22.3% | 11.6% | 59.7% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
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Q:5 Second-choice for mayor: If your first choice were not available, which candidate would be your second choice for mayor?
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| Undecided | 28.2% | 61.8% | 38.2% | 17.0% | 24.4% | 27.3% | 31.4% | 83.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 43.6% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 35.3% | 24.5% | 22.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 0.8% | 8.2% | 15.4% | 49.4% | 25.1% | 1.0% |
| Curtis Sliwa | 9.8% | 50.7% | 49.3% | 10.4% | 23.9% | 36.0% | 29.7% | 52.9% | 26.0% | 19.3% | 1.7% | 45.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 5.0% | 19.2% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 35.2% | 15.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 25.1% | 13.1% | 5.2% | 21.2% | 1.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 52.6% | 14.7% | 8.9% |
| Eric Adams | 17.3% | 48.5% | 51.5% | 5.0% | 20.3% | 30.3% | 44.4% | 49.7% | 29.1% | 16.1% | 5.0% | 41.1% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 1.3% | 16.6% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 26.1% | 20.4% | 26.2% | 15.1% | 4.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 21.9% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 18.0% | 0.0% | 15.6% | 23.2% | 37.1% | 20.0% | 4.2% |
| Another candidate | 19.9% | 50.5% | 49.5% | 16.8% | 28.5% | 32.0% | 22.7% | 84.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 44.2% | 22.2% | 17.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 11.5% | 37.3% | 23.7% | 22.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 19.0% | 11.1% | 26.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 44.3% | 24.6% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Cuomo | 14.4% | 56.7% | 43.3% | 3.6% | 26.0% | 25.2% | 45.2% | 77.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 37.6% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 28.5% | 23.5% | 26.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 20.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 1.8% | 11.7% | 23.1% | 34.8% | 22.5% | 6.1% |
| Jim Walden | 6.0% | 47.9% | 52.1% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 54.9% | 68.7% | 10.5% | 18.1% | 2.7% | 62.5% | 6.2% | 16.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 26.4% | 24.7% | 39.6% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 22.2% | 15.8% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 14.5% | 2.3% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 54.1% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Zohran Mamdani | 4.4% | 55.2% | 44.8% | 0.5% | 13.7% | 45.8% | 40.0% | 94.7% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 1.8% | 22.4% | 53.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 19.4% | 28.3% | 19.6% | 30.7% | 2.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 27.0% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 15.1% | 22.9% | 35.3% | 18.2% | 5.0% |
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Q:6 Favorable/Unfavorable — Eric Adams
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| Very Favorable | 8.3% | 51.3% | 48.7% | 6.2% | 20.7% | 26.6% | 46.6% | 56.9% | 29.8% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 28.0% | 16.6% | 20.3% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 25.1% | 24.5% | 33.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 13.7% | 19.6% | 3.7% | 16.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 26.6% | 1.5% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 32.2% | 19.7% | 12.1% |
| Somewhat favorable | 16.6% | 50.8% | 49.2% | 5.6% | 22.1% | 29.9% | 42.4% | 55.6% | 25.7% | 14.9% | 3.9% | 39.4% | 19.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 19.9% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 29.6% | 20.0% | 23.9% | 14.0% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 17.8% | 21.9% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 18.4% | 0.5% | 14.3% | 20.1% | 36.2% | 22.0% | 6.9% |
| Neutral | 11.9% | 55.8% | 44.2% | 4.2% | 20.8% | 34.1% | 40.9% | 61.2% | 19.6% | 14.0% | 5.2% | 39.4% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 3.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 22.4% | 25.2% | 31.2% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 19.8% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 2.8% | 9.9% | 22.6% | 44.7% | 17.5% | 2.5% |
| Somewhat unfavorable | 13.4% | 54.8% | 45.2% | 7.2% | 17.6% | 30.7% | 44.5% | 68.9% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 46.7% | 20.4% | 14.5% | 3.9% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 34.6% | 11.7% | 0.6% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 19.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 20.6% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 45.4% | 23.3% | 3.6% |
| Very Unfavorable | 49.9% | 55.5% | 44.5% | 16.9% | 27.4% | 28.0% | 27.7% | 86.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 46.1% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 12.4% | 36.9% | 23.8% | 22.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 23.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 0.7% | 9.9% | 17.1% | 48.3% | 22.5% | 1.4% |
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The Data is Not Available
Q:7 Favorable/Unfavorable — Zohran Mamdani
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| Very Favorable | 36.0% | 55.0% | 45.0% | 21.6% | 31.3% | 25.5% | 21.5% | 90.5% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 43.1% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 12.4% | 40.1% | 22.3% | 21.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 20.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 51.4% | 23.4% | 1.7% |
| Somewhat favorable | 11.2% | 56.7% | 43.3% | 9.4% | 26.0% | 23.5% | 41.1% | 90.1% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 1.0% | 42.0% | 37.1% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 6.7% | 18.8% | 25.9% | 24.1% | 26.5% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 9.3% | 20.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 1.3% | 7.2% | 22.6% | 43.6% | 22.9% | 2.3% |
| Neutral | 5.2% | 62.6% | 37.4% | 2.9% | 14.2% | 40.2% | 42.7% | 86.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 21.1% | 35.9% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 4.8% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 20.9% | 28.0% | 33.1% | 1.2% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 21.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 0.0% | 14.4% | 36.6% | 24.7% | 20.2% | 4.1% |
| Somewhat unfavorable | 5.4% | 59.4% | 40.6% | 4.4% | 13.0% | 30.5% | 52.1% | 76.2% | 3.2% | 16.7% | 3.9% | 43.2% | 32.8% | 13.0% | 0.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 18.7% | 23.5% | 30.6% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 18.9% | 0.0% | 3.9% | 13.4% | 49.0% | 30.9% | 2.8% |
| Very Unfavorable | 42.3% | 51.5% | 48.5% | 5.0% | 19.5% | 32.6% | 42.9% | 52.8% | 28.9% | 14.1% | 4.2% | 45.4% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 5.2% | 16.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 25.9% | 21.1% | 30.5% | 12.6% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 23.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 21.4% | 1.8% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 39.9% | 19.0% | 5.6% |
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Q:8 Favorable/Unfavorable — Curtis Sliwa
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| Very Favorable | 19.5% | 47.2% | 52.8% | 4.5% | 17.5% | 33.0% | 44.9% | 37.2% | 40.3% | 16.0% | 6.5% | 52.4% | 5.4% | 18.6% | 3.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 23.5% | 11.7% | 34.3% | 17.8% | 3.6% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 11.4% | 19.0% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 20.4% | 0.7% | 22.9% | 21.7% | 36.6% | 13.7% | 4.4% |
| Somewhat favorable | 11.8% | 43.7% | 56.3% | 7.4% | 26.7% | 26.1% | 39.9% | 57.5% | 23.3% | 16.9% | 2.3% | 43.4% | 10.2% | 19.3% | 2.8% | 17.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 25.8% | 20.3% | 34.5% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 25.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 3.4% | 8.2% | 22.3% | 41.1% | 16.4% | 8.6% |
| Neutral | 16.7% | 60.8% | 39.2% | 9.1% | 31.4% | 31.4% | 28.1% | 77.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 33.2% | 22.4% | 16.3% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 32.3% | 25.2% | 24.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 16.5% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 19.4% | 44.6% | 23.4% | 4.3% |
| Somewhat unfavorable | 15.2% | 65.1% | 34.9% | 21.9% | 24.2% | 25.5% | 28.5% | 86.2% | 2.5% | 9.8% | 1.5% | 41.0% | 21.4% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 17.3% | 27.9% | 27.7% | 24.7% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 22.4% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 1.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 53.7% | 21.4% | 1.0% |
| Very Unfavorable | 36.7% | 54.1% | 45.9% | 12.9% | 22.7% | 29.0% | 35.4% | 90.8% | 2.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 42.6% | 26.0% | 14.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 12.1% | 36.4% | 26.1% | 21.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 22.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 0.6% | 7.9% | 17.1% | 45.0% | 27.1% | 2.4% |
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Q:9 Favorable/Unfavorable — Andrew Cuomo
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| Very Favorable | 19.0% | 64.3% | 35.7% | 1.3% | 15.6% | 34.6% | 48.5% | 79.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 1.5% | 29.1% | 30.7% | 15.3% | 5.5% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 18.0% | 26.1% | 23.4% | 27.9% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 20.4% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 17.7% | 0.8% | 11.0% | 23.3% | 40.8% | 19.2% | 4.9% |
| Somewhat favorable | 19.3% | 52.0% | 48.0% | 2.3% | 25.2% | 23.5% | 49.0% | 69.4% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 2.5% | 42.7% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 13.0% | 24.5% | 25.3% | 29.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 21.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 0.7% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 43.2% | 22.7% | 2.9% |
| Neutral | 10.2% | 54.8% | 45.2% | 3.6% | 15.4% | 43.9% | 37.1% | 58.1% | 22.1% | 14.9% | 4.9% | 38.6% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 32.1% | 18.6% | 25.5% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 19.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 21.2% | 1.5% | 10.7% | 21.4% | 41.0% | 15.9% | 9.5% |
| Somewhat unfavorable | 12.4% | 51.1% | 48.9% | 14.8% | 21.3% | 34.2% | 29.7% | 70.4% | 18.3% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 49.6% | 21.9% | 14.5% | 0.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 24.0% | 29.0% | 33.2% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 20.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 17.5% | 1.5% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 42.7% | 25.2% | 2.3% |
| Very Unfavorable | 39.1% | 51.5% | 48.5% | 21.6% | 30.2% | 24.3% | 23.9% | 78.0% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 48.4% | 13.0% | 18.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 37.6% | 20.2% | 22.3% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 23.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 0.7% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 47.5% | 22.8% | 2.2% |
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Q:10 Favorable/Unfavorable — Jim Walden
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| Very Favorable | 3.2% | 41.5% | 58.5% | 9.4% | 20.7% | 36.1% | 33.8% | 73.2% | 16.5% | 8.9% | 1.4% | 36.5% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 13.8% | 37.3% | 38.7% | 10.2% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 21.8% | 3.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 35.7% | 22.0% | 5.5% |
| Somewhat favorable | 5.3% | 44.3% | 55.7% | 8.9% | 17.9% | 29.1% | 44.2% | 64.1% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 3.0% | 54.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 15.3% | 1.9% | 7.5% | 25.2% | 23.4% | 37.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 22.7% | 6.4% | 17.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 18.4% | 2.8% | 12.4% | 22.3% | 38.3% | 20.4% | 3.8% |
| Neutral | 60.9% | 54.7% | 45.3% | 11.3% | 24.1% | 28.5% | 36.1% | 71.7% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 42.6% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 29.8% | 22.9% | 27.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 21.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 0.6% | 9.4% | 17.5% | 46.1% | 22.9% | 3.6% |
| Somewhat unfavorable | 10.2% | 65.1% | 34.9% | 18.8% | 17.3% | 32.1% | 31.8% | 81.1% | 12.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 46.6% | 22.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 31.7% | 26.0% | 23.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 20.0% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 18.4% | 1.5% | 8.6% | 20.9% | 46.1% | 21.1% | 1.9% |
| Very Unfavorable | 20.4% | 52.3% | 47.7% | 8.8% | 28.4% | 29.3% | 33.5% | 77.7% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 39.3% | 22.1% | 19.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 33.2% | 18.0% | 24.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 26.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 0.3% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 40.2% | 18.7% | 4.3% |
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Q:11 Favorable/Unfavorable — Jessica Tisch (NYC Police Commissioner)
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| Very Favorable | 17.7% | 53.5% | 46.5% | 3.1% | 12.4% | 29.8% | 54.8% | 71.9% | 17.0% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 55.9% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 2.0% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 12.4% | 20.6% | 29.6% | 25.2% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 24.0% | 1.5% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 44.4% | 20.1% | 4.2% |
| Somewhat favorable | 16.9% | 49.8% | 50.2% | 6.4% | 20.6% | 27.6% | 45.3% | 73.3% | 14.7% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 41.6% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 2.4% | 14.5% | 6.5% | 15.0% | 25.8% | 26.1% | 26.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 25.4% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 0.9% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 44.8% | 23.9% | 3.3% |
| Neutral | 37.1% | 58.7% | 41.3% | 11.4% | 23.7% | 34.0% | 30.9% | 71.4% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 2.2% | 37.7% | 22.2% | 15.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 13.6% | 30.9% | 21.8% | 27.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 0.2% | 10.6% | 18.8% | 42.9% | 23.9% | 3.6% |
| Somewhat unfavorable | 12.5% | 59.3% | 40.7% | 24.9% | 28.5% | 20.6% | 25.9% | 81.2% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 47.0% | 14.5% | 21.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 44.1% | 15.9% | 24.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 22.3% | 8.8% | 27.9% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 45.1% | 22.7% | 2.8% |
| Very Unfavorable | 15.8% | 45.9% | 54.1% | 15.0% | 36.8% | 26.3% | 21.9% | 74.8% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 38.0% | 22.8% | 17.2% | 10.4% | 1.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 35.8% | 19.1% | 26.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 25.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 14.1% | 2.6% | 11.4% | 21.3% | 45.4% | 15.4% | 3.9% |
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Q:12 Top issues: share of respondents selecting each
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| Cost of living | 61.3% | 57.2% | 42.8% | 14.7% | 25.7% | 28.8% | 30.7% | 78.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 40.1% | 20.4% | 17.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 34.9% | 21.3% | 24.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 21.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 0.7% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 42.1% | 21.9% | 4.3% |
| Public safety | 53.9% | 54.6% | 45.4% | 7.8% | 21.7% | 31.9% | 38.6% | 64.3% | 19.2% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 42.8% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 24.0% | 22.9% | 29.8% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 23.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 18.3% | 1.3% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 43.2% | 20.3% | 3.9% |
| Housing affordability | 38.9% | 55.0% | 45.0% | 19.3% | 29.4% | 24.7% | 26.6% | 83.4% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 44.2% | 25.3% | 15.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 14.3% | 35.8% | 25.9% | 19.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 26.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 0.4% | 6.4% | 15.5% | 49.5% | 25.8% | 2.4% |
| Finding and keeping affordable healthcare | 20.6% | 57.3% | 42.7% | 7.6% | 23.2% | 30.9% | 38.4% | 82.9% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 40.1% | 20.8% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 31.4% | 23.1% | 24.4% | 3.8% | 9.5% | 21.0% | 18.0% | 8.4% | 16.3% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 14.0% | 1.0% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 40.8% | 23.9% | 2.9% |
| Services to help older residents remain in their homes as they age | 15.9% | 57.0% | 43.0% | 3.4% | 9.2% | 22.2% | 65.2% | 78.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 1.7% | 38.8% | 24.3% | 17.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 27.8% | 23.3% | 34.0% | 4.8% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 21.1% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 14.4% | 0.9% | 11.5% | 24.6% | 41.0% | 18.6% | 3.5% |
| Public transportation access and affordability | 20.6% | 56.7% | 43.3% | 22.5% | 30.2% | 21.0% | 26.3% | 83.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 57.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 37.3% | 28.7% | 20.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 21.0% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 0.6% | 3.4% | 10.8% | 56.8% | 25.7% | 2.7% |
| Better jobs and economic opportunities | 20.5% | 49.5% | 50.5% | 14.1% | 31.5% | 26.9% | 27.5% | 73.3% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 35.5% | 22.6% | 18.5% | 4.8% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 16.1% | 29.3% | 27.3% | 19.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 22.5% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 1.0% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 47.1% | 25.3% | 2.0% |
| Utility and energy costs | 18.2% | 48.9% | 51.1% | 6.4% | 18.4% | 31.1% | 44.1% | 63.3% | 21.8% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 45.0% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 2.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 25.0% | 12.9% | 34.7% | 13.4% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 19.0% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 18.2% | 0.7% | 15.9% | 26.6% | 34.1% | 17.0% | 5.6% |
| Other | 7.5% | 51.5% | 48.5% | 8.4% | 26.5% | 34.8% | 30.4% | 61.3% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 3.9% | 41.0% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 2.0% | 25.8% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 25.5% | 25.7% | 35.1% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 25.2% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 1.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 48.3% | 26.4% | 3.2% |
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Q:13 Leadership style:Which approach to city leadership do you prefer?
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| A mayor who focuses on improving existing systems | 48.0% | 56.8% | 43.2% | 6.8% | 17.7% | 30.6% | 44.9% | 70.4% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 2.3% | 40.4% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 5.8% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 28.1% | 25.0% | 24.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 20.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 17.0% | 1.1% | 10.3% | 17.5% | 44.6% | 22.4% | 4.2% |
| A mayor who pursues major policy changes | 36.8% | 49.8% | 50.2% | 18.6% | 31.4% | 25.3% | 24.6% | 80.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 44.2% | 19.8% | 18.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 11.3% | 35.7% | 20.6% | 27.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 22.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 0.4% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 46.1% | 20.4% | 3.0% |
| Neither of these approaches appeal to me | 15.1% | 57.6% | 42.4% | 7.9% | 24.9% | 34.8% | 32.4% | 67.7% | 19.8% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 46.9% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 26.3% | 20.7% | 29.4% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 23.5% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 20.1% | 1.5% | 10.2% | 24.4% | 38.0% | 22.7% | 3.3% |
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Q:14 Voting strategy: What best describes your approach to choosing a candidate?
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| I choose based on who can bring change | 26.7% | 55.2% | 44.8% | 3.7% | 27.1% | 28.8% | 40.5% | 79.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 2.1% | 27.9% | 32.6% | 21.8% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 8.0% | 17.7% | 28.6% | 20.7% | 27.0% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 18.7% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 12.2% | 0.9% | 19.0% | 23.2% | 35.5% | 16.8% | 4.6% |
| I choose the candidate closest to my views | 69.6% | 54.7% | 45.3% | 14.1% | 22.4% | 29.4% | 34.1% | 71.2% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 48.5% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 5.1% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 31.2% | 22.8% | 26.7% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 23.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 1.0% | 8.9% | 16.3% | 47.3% | 23.8% | 2.7% |
| I choose based on who can win | 3.7% | 40.5% | 59.5% | 15.5% | 27.6% | 30.7% | 26.1% | 76.1% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 42.6% | 15.5% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 23.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 36.1% | 36.7% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 21.9% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 16.0% | 46.5% | 17.9% | 13.9% |
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Q:15 Right Track / Wrong Track:How do you feel about the direction New York City is headed?
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| Right direction | 9.2% | 44.7% | 55.3% | 14.0% | 23.1% | 29.6% | 33.2% | 79.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 45.0% | 17.0% | 23.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 14.9% | 33.0% | 31.2% | 17.6% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 17.2% | 20.3% | 9.6% | 22.1% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 49.6% | 17.9% | 3.3% |
| Wrong direction | 52.7% | 53.3% | 46.7% | 9.4% | 24.1% | 32.7% | 33.8% | 67.8% | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 40.6% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 29.9% | 21.0% | 27.3% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 23.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 15.2% | 0.6% | 13.6% | 21.3% | 42.4% | 19.5% | 2.6% |
| Mixed/Neither | 35.8% | 57.2% | 42.8% | 13.0% | 23.9% | 24.8% | 38.2% | 80.6% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 2.2% | 46.9% | 21.8% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 12.2% | 31.5% | 23.4% | 26.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 19.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 0.8% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 44.8% | 26.6% | 5.5% |
| No opinion | 2.2% | 72.5% | 27.5% | 19.4% | 20.3% | 19.9% | 40.4% | 72.6% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 3.7% | 20.4% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 9.1% | 20.1% | 19.9% | 5.7% | 25.3% | 19.8% | 42.5% | 6.7% | 19.5% | 19.7% | 6.7% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 22.2% | 52.0% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
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Q:16 Future Outlook: How do you feel about New York City's future?
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| Very optimistic — with the right leadership, things can improve | 30.6% | 54.1% | 45.9% | 14.1% | 27.8% | 28.4% | 29.6% | 82.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 40.9% | 22.4% | 19.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 12.9% | 39.9% | 22.5% | 20.1% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 19.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 1.3% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 45.9% | 19.4% | 3.4% |
| Somewhat optimistic — I’m not sure who to trust, but I haven’t given up | 28.6% | 58.3% | 41.7% | 12.8% | 23.0% | 25.0% | 39.2% | 82.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 44.1% | 22.2% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 12.5% | 28.4% | 25.2% | 27.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 22.0% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 18.9% | 42.7% | 28.1% | 1.8% |
| Very pessimistic — NYC’s future looks bleak no matter who the next mayor is | 7.4% | 43.7% | 56.3% | 7.1% | 22.0% | 35.7% | 35.2% | 51.3% | 25.0% | 17.9% | 5.9% | 38.2% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 2.0% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 26.8% | 23.0% | 20.5% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 26.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 17.9% | 4.4% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 38.4% | 19.0% | 7.6% |
| Somewhat pessimistic — the city is headed in the wrong direction | 21.0% | 51.5% | 48.5% | 6.8% | 22.6% | 33.4% | 37.1% | 56.1% | 27.5% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 43.4% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 6.2% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 25.7% | 19.4% | 32.4% | 11.3% | 1.1% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 20.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 19.4% | 0.3% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 44.8% | 19.0% | 3.5% |
| Neither optimistic nor pessimistic – I am not sure | 12.3% | 56.8% | 43.2% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 30.6% | 39.1% | 73.4% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 2.2% | 46.0% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 3.6% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 23.6% | 22.9% | 33.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 24.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 18.1% | 1.1% | 6.4% | 21.8% | 45.6% | 18.8% | 6.3% |
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Q:17 Preferred Voting Method: How do you plan to vote in the mayoral election?
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| On Election Day at a polling place | 50.9% | 51.8% | 48.2% | 9.6% | 24.5% | 33.2% | 32.7% | 65.1% | 19.9% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 42.8% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 29.6% | 18.3% | 28.8% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 23.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 1.1% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 41.4% | 18.5% | 3.1% |
| During the early voting period | 37.8% | 58.2% | 41.8% | 14.3% | 23.5% | 26.9% | 35.3% | 83.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 44.3% | 24.4% | 12.3% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 11.5% | 31.4% | 28.3% | 23.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 20.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 0.6% | 7.5% | 14.7% | 48.2% | 27.0% | 2.0% |
| Haven't decided yet | 6.1% | 50.9% | 49.1% | 11.3% | 23.0% | 23.8% | 41.9% | 72.4% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 35.6% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 3.3% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 30.8% | 21.4% | 26.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 23.8% | 0.0% | 4.4% | 16.1% | 47.6% | 14.6% | 17.4% |
| By absentee ballot | 4.8% | 52.1% | 47.9% | 7.6% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 57.6% | 83.0% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 1.2% | 42.3% | 26.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 11.0% | 36.6% | 26.1% | 23.0% | 3.3% | 8.4% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 24.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 15.8% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 29.7% | 40.1% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Other | 0.4% | 93.9% | 6.1% | 0.0% | 55.2% | 0.0% | 44.8% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 38.8% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 35.8% | 38.8% | 19.4% | 41.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 35.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 58.2% | 35.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 58.2% |
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Q:18 Political identity: How would you describe your political views?
| Gender % | Age % | Party % | Race % | County % | Income % | Education % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer | Weighted % | Female | Male | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | Democratic | Republican | Non-Partisan | Other | White (non-Hispanic) | Black or African American | Hispanic or Latino | East or South Asian | Jewish | Other | BRONX | KINGS | NEWYORK | QUEENS | RICHMOND | Under $25,000 | $25,000 – $49,999 | $50,000 – $74,999 | $75,000 – $99,999 | $100,000 – $149,999 | $150,000 – $199,999 | $200,000 or more | Prefer not to say | Less than high school | High school diploma or GED | Some college / Associate degree | Bachelor’s degree | Graduate or professional degree | Prefer not to say |
| Somewhat liberal | 20.3% | 55.3% | 44.7% | 13.8% | 20.6% | 29.0% | 36.6% | 90.8% | 1.2% | 6.9% | 1.2% | 41.0% | 25.6% | 15.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 15.5% | 30.6% | 26.5% | 21.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 20.5% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 15.3% | 52.6% | 23.8% | 0.5% |
| Somewhat conservative | 14.0% | 46.1% | 53.9% | 6.7% | 20.8% | 33.0% | 39.5% | 52.6% | 26.8% | 17.4% | 3.2% | 43.3% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 6.4% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 25.8% | 16.3% | 30.2% | 16.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 16.3% | 8.4% | 28.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 16.3% | 1.5% | 9.7% | 27.4% | 39.1% | 18.3% | 4.0% |
| Moderate / centrist | 22.2% | 54.5% | 45.5% | 4.2% | 23.7% | 35.5% | 36.6% | 76.7% | 4.9% | 15.6% | 2.9% | 35.5% | 22.3% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 14.8% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 24.8% | 30.0% | 27.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 18.0% | 1.2% | 9.0% | 16.7% | 43.3% | 24.3% | 5.4% |
| No particular preference | 8.7% | 58.4% | 41.6% | 6.4% | 30.6% | 34.5% | 28.5% | 66.7% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 4.1% | 30.4% | 30.9% | 17.9% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 28.3% | 11.0% | 34.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 16.1% | 1.7% | 24.4% | 25.0% | 26.5% | 15.1% | 7.3% |
| Very conservative | 10.8% | 46.5% | 53.5% | 4.5% | 13.9% | 32.1% | 49.5% | 21.4% | 64.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 53.9% | 4.3% | 22.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 27.2% | 9.5% | 32.6% | 18.0% | 5.0% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 21.1% | 0.6% | 26.3% | 22.3% | 36.7% | 11.5% | 2.6% |
| Very liberal | 24.0% | 60.1% | 39.9% | 23.5% | 30.5% | 18.5% | 27.5% | 94.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 50.3% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 41.3% | 26.8% | 21.4% | 2.1% | 6.7% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 24.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 0.9% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 50.4% | 26.4% | 3.5% |
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Sponsor & Fielding
- Sponsor: AARP
Conducted by: Gotham Polling & Analytics
Mode & language: SMS invitations to a self-administered web survey (English only)
Field date: August 11, 2025
Average questionnaire time: 3 minutes 33 seconds.
Population, Frame, and Sample
- Population: Likely voters registered in New York City (five boroughs), age 18+.
Sampling frame: L2 voter file of registered voters in NYC (five boroughs) with matched mobile
numbers (N=4,745,759).
Sample design: Random selection of 70,000 records from the frame (stratified by Age Range
(birth-year), Voter Gender, and Party description).
Invitations sent: 69,767 SMS
Dispositions (AAPOR-style mapping)
- Complete interviews (I): 1,376
Partial interviews (P): 275
Screened ineligible (NE): 62 (additional ineligible: invalid 81, not mobile 83)
Refusals (R): 2,581 (“do not text”)
Other eligible non-interview (O): 414 (DNC + other replies)
Undelivered (UH): 2,757
Delivered (approx.): 67,010
Non-contact (NC): 62,364 (Delivered – (I+P+R+O))
Outcome Rates (AAPOR Standard Definitions; RR3 uses ê for UH)
ê (eligibility rate among known) = 0.954
RR1 = 0.020 • RR3 = 0.020
COOP1 = 0.296 • CON1 = 0.069 • REF1 = 0.037
Weighting
- Variables: gender, age, party registration, race, county, household income, and education.
Targets: NYC general-election voter distributions (2021 & 2022).
Method: iterative proportional fiting (raking), then normalization. Final reporting uses the
“Normalized Weight” in SurveyData.
Trimming: weights winsorized at CapMultiplier × median (final weight) with CapMultiplier=2.5
by default; renormalized to mean=1.
Diagnostics: Based on the current cap in the Weights sheet, DEFF » 1.49 and n_eff » 921; 95%
MOE near 50% » ±3.2 points (within-frame).
Questionnaire & Routing
- Full question wording and response options are provided in the attached Questionnaire PDF
(exact text as displayed in data headers).
Key skips (summary): “Backup choice” was asked after vote intention; results include modeled
“dropout scenarios” that reallocate first-choice votes to each respondent’s backup choice.
Respondents who remained undecided, selected “another candidate,” provided no backup, or
backed a candidate who also dropped remain in the “Undecided + Another” bucket.
Quality Controls & Limitations
- Quality: de-duplication by L2ID/device/IP; speed checks; straight-line flags; geofencing to NYC;
termination of unlikely voters (n=62).
Coverage: registered voters with matched mobile numbers; nonresponse and measurement
error are possible; SMS-to-web mode effects may occur.
Interpretation of modeled scenarios: “dropout scenario” head-to-heads are modeled
outcomes, not observed elections.
Contact:
Gotham Polling & Analytics
[email protected]
htps://gothampolling.com/
“Precision Polling for Data-Driven Political Strategies”