Analysis: NY Congressional District 03 Post-Election Analysis – February 2024

• Chart 1 (Results by Age, Gender) shows that age 50-plus voters comprised 71.2% of total votes in the special election, demonstrating the consistent strength of this voting bloc. Note also, while under-50 voters were evenly distributed between men and women, 50 and over women voters voted in slightly higher number than 50 and over men.

• Chart 2 (Results by Age, Party) compares the vote across political parties and demonstrates the strength of the 50-plus group across Democratic, Republican and unaffiliated (blank) voters. Age 50-plus Democrats and Republicans voted in the special at a rate greater than 3:1, while unaffiliated voters voted at a rate nearly 2:1.

• Chart 3 (Results by Age, Party, Gender) further delineates from Chart 2 by gender. Democratic women 50 plus were the largest voting bloc, 17.9%, followed by Republican men 50 and over. (14.1%).

• Chart 4 (Registered by Party, Gender, Age) shows registration numbers. The top 3 groups are women, with Democratic women 50 and over (72,408) far outnumbering everyone else, followed by Democratic women under-50 (60,025) and Republican women 50 plus (53,088).

• Chart 5 (Results by Party, Sex, Age) presents data from Chart 3 in bar form, facilitating a clearer comparison of the voting patterns among 50-plus and under-50 groups within the Democratic, Republican, and unaffiliated voters. It distinctly highlights the significant influence of Democratic women ages 50 and over. Notably, Democratic women emerged as Gotham Study on Post Election Analysis in New York Congressional District 03 Special Election 2024: the predominant subgroup. Conversely, in the Republican and unaffiliated categories, men substantially exceeded women, a trend consistent across both age groups.

Voted in August 2022 Primary or Special