NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary: Ranked-Choice Voting Analysis Highlights Cuomo’s Lead, Challenges for Adams and Opportunities for Other Candidates.
A recent Gotham Polling & Analytics survey reveals that former Governor Andrew Cuomo maintains a significant advantage in the Democratic primary for New York City Mayor, especially when considering ranked-choice voting outcomes.
Poll Details:
Ranked-Choice Voting Outcomes:
In the final (seventh) round of ranked-choice voting, the distribution was as follows:
These results indicate that Cuomo secures a majority in the final round, highlighting his strong position in the race.
Voter Preferences:
Candidate Favorability:
Voter Priorities:
Observations:
The data underscores a competitive primary, with voter dissatisfaction playing a pivotal role in shaping the race.
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. Very Likely | 90.2% | 41% | 59% | 12% | 22% | 26% | 40% | 45% | 30% | 16% | 9% | 14% | 34% | 27% | 23% | 3% |
2. Somewhat Likely | 3.5% | 40% | 61% | 15% | 17% | 33% | 35% | 42% | 40% | 18% | 0% | 7% | 42% | 22% | 27% | 3% |
3. Unsure | 3.7% | 31% | 69% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 62% | 38% | 21% | 40% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 14% | 41% | 6% |
4. Not Likely | 2.6% | 42% | 58% | 5% | 20% | 22% | 53% | 43% | 34% | 18% | 5% | 10% | 52% | 18% | 19% | 2% |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. Very closely | 58.2% | 46% | 54% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 42% | 48% | 29% | 15% | 8% | 14% | 33% | 24% | 26% | 3% |
2. Somewhat closely | 38.0% | 39% | 61% | 14% | 23% | 26% | 37% | 44% | 29% | 17% | 10% | 12% | 34% | 30% | 20% | 4% |
3. Not very closely | 3.7% | 27% | 73% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 37% | 27% | 38% | 22% | 13% | 26% | 31% | 28% | 15% | 0% |
4. Not at all | 0.1% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 38% | 62% | 0% | 0% | 62% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 0% |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1a. Eric Adams - I could vote for | 16% | 48% | 52% | 4% | 12% | 31% | 53% | 39% | 45% | 13% | 2% | 20% | 30% | 21% | 27% | 2% |
1b. Eric Adams - I could NOT vote for | 84% | 58% | 42% | 16% | 26% | 26% | 32% | 50% | 24% | 16% | 10% | 11% | 34% | 29% | 23% | 4% |
2a. Brad Lander - I could vote for | 68% | 55% | 45% | 15% | 30% | 27% | 28% | 57% | 20% | 11% | 12% | 8% | 38% | 30% | 21% | 3% |
2b. Brad Lander - I could NOT vote for | 32% | 55% | 45% | 11% | 18% | 27% | 43% | 42% | 29% | 20% | 8% | 17% | 31% | 19% | 30% | 3% |
3a. Jessica Ramos - I could vote for | 62% | 54% | 46% | 17% | 31% | 27% | 25% | 51% | 22% | 18% | 10% | 12% | 38% | 26% | 23% | 2% |
3b. Jessica Ramos - I could NOT vote for | 38% | 53% | 47% | 11% | 18% | 29% | 42% | 49% | 28% | 15% | 8% | 13% | 29% | 24% | 30% | 3% |
4a. Scott Stringer - I could vote for | 63% | 56% | 44% | 10% | 26% | 28% | 36% | 52% | 24% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 35% | 29% | 25% | 3% |
4b. Scott Stringer - I could NOT vote for | 37% | 55% | 45% | 19% | 23% | 27% | 31% | 51% | 24% | 17% | 7% | 15% | 36% | 24% | 22% | 3% |
5a. Andrew Cuomo - I could vote for | 58% | 56% | 44% | 7% | 15% | 30% | 48% | 37% | 38% | 19% | 6% | 17% | 28% | 26% | 26% | 3% |
5b. Andrew Cuomo - I could NOT vote for | 42% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 32% | 22% | 25% | 62% | 15% | 10% | 13% | 8% | 40% | 28% | 20% | 4% |
6a. Michael Blake - I could vote for | 44% | 53% | 47% | 16% | 29% | 29% | 26% | 49% | 24% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 33% | 28% | 22% | 3% |
6b. Michael Blake - I could NOT vote for | 56% | 55% | 45% | 13% | 23% | 26% | 38% | 51% | 23% | 17% | 8% | 11% | 34% | 24% | 28% | 3% |
7a. Zellnor Myrie - I could vote for | 54% | 53% | 47% | 18% | 34% | 26% | 22% | 54% | 22% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 43% | 28% | 18% | 2% |
7b. Zellnor Myrie - I could NOT vote for | 46% | 57% | 43% | 10% | 18% | 27% | 45% | 48% | 26% | 18% | 8% | 16% | 28% | 23% | 30% | 3% |
8a. Zohan Mamdani - I could vote for | 51% | 58% | 42% | 21% | 39% | 19% | 22% | 56% | 19% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 43% | 28% | 19% | 2% |
8b. Zohan Mamdani - I could NOT vote for | 49% | 52% | 48% | 8% | 17% | 31% | 44% | 45% | 28% | 18% | 9% | 16% | 28% | 23% | 30% | 3% |
9a. Whitney Tilson - I could vote for | 36% | 52% | 48% | 12% | 30% | 33% | 25% | 52% | 25% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 34% | 31% | 20% | 2% |
9b. Whitney Tilson - I could NOT vote for | 64% | 55% | 45% | 16% | 24% | 24% | 36% | 50% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 12% | 35% | 23% | 27% | 3% |
Total | Ranked Choice | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th |
1. Eric Adams | 116 | 73 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 1 |
2. Brad Lander | 473 | 149 | 160 | 111 | 36 | 17 |
3. Jessica Ramos | 386 | 52 | 106 | 118 | 67 | 42 |
4. Scott Stringer | 422 | 92 | 156 | 99 | 48 | 28 |
5. Andrew Cuomo | 468 | 327 | 85 | 25 | 18 | 13 |
6. Michael Blake | 189 | 15 | 33 | 52 | 46 | 43 |
7. Zellnor Myrie | 309 | 54 | 81 | 61 | 64 | 49 |
8. Zohan Mamdani | 283 | 122 | 39 | 42 | 52 | 28 |
9. Whitney Tilson | 149 | 18 | 28 | 22 | 37 | 45 |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. Eric Adams | 4.4% | 51% | 49% | 6% | 13% | 21% | 60% | 39% | 39% | 7% | 14% | 14% | 17% | 40% | 27% | 2% |
2. Brad Lander | 19.6% | 45% | 55% | 17% | 24% | 23% | 36% | 54% | 25% | 15% | 6% | 7% | 37% | 32% | 19% | 5% |
3. Jessica Ramos | 14.7% | 39% | 61% | 25% | 29% | 19% | 27% | 40% | 25% | 25% | 10% | 12% | 31% | 30% | 24% | 3% |
4. Scott Stringer | 20.7% | 41% | 59% | 5% | 19% | 27% | 49% | 44% | 32% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 36% | 26% | 24% | 3% |
5. Andrew Cuomo | 19.2% | 38% | 62% | 7% | 10% | 32% | 51% | 34% | 44% | 21% | 1% | 22% | 22% | 25% | 27% | 4% |
6. Michael Blake | 3.8% | 51% | 49% | 12% | 24% | 38% | 26% | 38% | 27% | 16% | 19% | 21% | 29% | 23% | 23% | 4% |
7. Zellnor Myrie | 10.0% | 34% | 66% | 9% | 28% | 23% | 40% | 51% | 22% | 21% | 6% | 5% | 62% | 19% | 12% | 2% |
8. Zohan Mamdani | 4.5% | 32% | 68% | 19% | 43% | 15% | 23% | 59% | 20% | 8% | 13% | 8% | 44% | 23% | 26% | 0% |
9. Whitney Tilson | 3.1% | 44% | 56% | 12% | 19% | 43% | 26% | 48% | 27% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 27% | 36% | 0% |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. Proven Leadership Experience | 28.4% | 44% | 56% | 7% | 18% | 33% | 41% | 51% | 27% | 15% | 7% | 10% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 4% |
2. Progressive Vision | 23.0% | 47% | 53% | 22% | 35% | 22% | 21% | 56% | 22% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 38% | 28% | 19% | 1% |
3. Ability to Manage Complex Crises | 33.2% | 41% | 59% | 10% | 24% | 33% | 33% | 51% | 23% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 33% | 30% | 23% | 3% |
4. Strong Ethical Standards | 38.9% | 44% | 56% | 14% | 27% | 29% | 29% | 51% | 26% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 34% | 29% | 23% | 3% |
5. Focus on Economic Development | 24.9% | 43% | 57% | 11% | 23% | 32% | 35% | 43% | 27% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 31% | 25% | 26% | 4% |
6. Commitment to Social Justice | 24.0% | 36% | 64% | 17% | 28% | 29% | 26% | 48% | 34% | 13% | 5% | 15% | 34% | 25% | 23% | 3% |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. Crime and Public Safety – Keep the city safe while making sure policing is fair and effective. Voters want real plans, not just tough talk. | 26.3% | 45% | 55% | 5% | 18% | 34% | 42% | 43% | 28% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 27% | 28% | 28% | 4% |
2. Housing Affordability – Make it easier for people to afford a place to live, whether through more housing, better rent protections, or smarter zoning laws. | 30.6% | 40% | 60% | 18% | 30% | 27% | 24% | 46% | 29% | 15% | 9% | 15% | 37% | 26% | 21% | 2% |
3. Economic Issues – Help create good-paying jobs, keep small businesses thriving, and find ways to make everyday life more affordable. | 19.6% | 41% | 59% | 8% | 23% | 38% | 31% | 50% | 32% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 36% | 26% | 26% | 3% |
4. Government Corruption – Be transparent, crack down on waste and favoritism, and restore trust in city leadership. Government Accountability – Combating corruption and ensuring transparency. | 18.6% | 43% | 57% | 12% | 23% | 27% | 37% | 45% | 32% | 13% | 9% | 16% | 35% | 24% | 22% | 3% |
5. Migrant Crisis – Come up with a clear and realistic plan to manage asylum seekers, provide services, and make sure it doesn’t overwhelm city resources. | 9.5% | 50% | 50% | 10% | 18% | 28% | 45% | 47% | 25% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 30% | 28% | 28% | 6% |
6. Congestion Pricing and Transportation – Improve public transit, fix the subway, and make sure congestion pricing actually benefits riders and drivers. | 12.6% | 59% | 41% | 17% | 36% | 25% | 22% | 64% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 4% | 38% | 35% | 22% | 2% |
7. Education – Invest in public schools, support teachers, and make sure kids are getting the education they need to succeed. | 19.9% | 43% | 57% | 14% | 28% | 28% | 30% | 47% | 31% | 15% | 8% | 18% | 32% | 26% | 21% | 2% |
8. Climate Change and Environmental Policy – Protect the city from flooding, reduce pollution, and push for a cleaner and greener future. | 9.4% | 36% | 64% | 17% | 28% | 20% | 35% | 67% | 18% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 44% | 24% | 20% | 5% |
9. Reproductive Rights and Civil Liberties – Stand up for abortion rights, LGBTQ+ protections, and other freedoms that people feel are under threat. | 12.2% | 34% | 66% | 21% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 56% | 27% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 37% | 31% | 18% | 3% |
10. Quality of Life Issues – Clean up the streets, address homelessness, and make New York a better place to live, work, and visit. | 26.7% | 41% | 59% | 11% | 23% | 32% | 35% | 51% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 30% | 30% | 26% | 4% |
My Other Example Heading
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. Crime and Public Safety – Keep the city safe while making sure policing is fair and effective. Voters want real plans, not just tough talk. | 26.3% | 45% | 55% | 5% | 18% | 34% | 42% | 43% | 28% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 27% | 28% | 28% | 4% |
2. Housing Affordability – Make it easier for people to afford a place to live, whether through more housing, better rent protections, or smarter zoning laws. | 30.6% | 40% | 60% | 18% | 30% | 27% | 24% | 46% | 29% | 15% | 9% | 15% | 37% | 26% | 21% | 2% |
3. Economic Issues – Help create good-paying jobs, keep small businesses thriving, and find ways to make everyday life more affordable. | 19.6% | 41% | 59% | 8% | 23% | 38% | 31% | 50% | 32% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 36% | 26% | 26% | 3% |
4. Government Corruption – Be transparent, crack down on waste and favoritism, and restore trust in city leadership. Government Accountability – Combating corruption and ensuring transparency. | 18.6% | 43% | 57% | 12% | 23% | 27% | 37% | 45% | 32% | 13% | 9% | 16% | 35% | 24% | 22% | 3% |
5. Migrant Crisis – Come up with a clear and realistic plan to manage asylum seekers, provide services, and make sure it doesn’t overwhelm city resources. | 9.5% | 50% | 50% | 10% | 18% | 28% | 45% | 47% | 25% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 30% | 28% | 28% | 6% |
6. Congestion Pricing and Transportation – Improve public transit, fix the subway, and make sure congestion pricing actually benefits riders and drivers. | 12.6% | 59% | 41% | 17% | 36% | 25% | 22% | 64% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 4% | 38% | 35% | 22% | 2% |
7. Education – Invest in public schools, support teachers, and make sure kids are getting the education they need to succeed. | 19.9% | 43% | 57% | 14% | 28% | 28% | 30% | 47% | 31% | 15% | 8% | 18% | 32% | 26% | 21% | 2% |
8. Climate Change and Environmental Policy – Protect the city from flooding, reduce pollution, and push for a cleaner and greener future. | 9.4% | 36% | 64% | 17% | 28% | 20% | 35% | 67% | 18% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 44% | 24% | 20% | 5% |
9. Reproductive Rights and Civil Liberties – Stand up for abortion rights, LGBTQ+ protections, and other freedoms that people feel are under threat. | 12.2% | 34% | 66% | 21% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 56% | 27% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 37% | 31% | 18% | 3% |
10. Quality of Life Issues – Clean up the streets, address homelessness, and make New York a better place to live, work, and visit. | 26.7% | 41% | 59% | 11% | 23% | 32% | 35% | 51% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 30% | 30% | 26% | 4% |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. He’s a tough leader who knows how to get big things done. | 20.3% | 32% | 68% | 8% | 17% | 32% | 43% | 33% | 39% | 21% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 24% | 27% | 3% |
2. He handled major crises like COVID and helped rebuild the state’s infrastructure. | 34.5% | 41% | 59% | 4% | 12% | 31% | 52% | 36% | 37% | 20% | 7% | 15% | 28% | 30% | 23% | 4% |
3. His handling of nursing home deaths during COVID was a major failure. | 4.7% | 37% | 63% | 16% | 22% | 17% | 46% | 55% | 39% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 49% | 18% | 25% | 4% |
4. His history of scandals and abuse of power makes him unfit for office. | 39.1% | 45% | 55% | 21% | 32% | 20% | 26% | 57% | 19% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 39% | 28% | 22% | 3% |
5. I really don’t know enough about him to have a strong opinion. | 1.4% | 49% | 51% | 8% | 9% | 0% | 84% | 37% | 28% | 35% | 0% | 8% | 73% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. He knows New York City’s budget inside and out and can help fix its finances. | 34.4% | 45% | 55% | 7% | 19% | 33% | 40% | 48% | 32% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 27% | 29% | 30% | 5% |
2. He’s been a champion for affordable housing and tenant rights. | 8.5% | 48% | 52% | 8% | 33% | 25% | 34% | 53% | 24% | 12% | 10% | 12% | 36% | 32% | 17% | 2% |
3. He’s been in government forever, but has he really changed anything? | 17.5% | 44% | 56% | 9% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 56% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 11% | 39% | 29% | 18% | 2% |
4. The allegations from his last campaign still raise red flags for me. | 20.8% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 29% | 27% | 20% | 57% | 12% | 12% | 18% | 11% | 36% | 27% | 25% | 1% |
5. I really don’t know enough about him to have a strong opinion. | 18.8% | 34% | 66% | 17% | 21% | 30% | 32% | 39% | 36% | 16% | 9% | 18% | 40% | 22% | 19% | 1% |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. He understands the challenges of running a big city and brings real experience. | 6.2% | 36% | 64% | 3% | 14% | 31% | 52% | 33% | 60% | 7% | 0% | 28% | 23% | 14% | 31% | 4% |
2. He has helped make the city safer and cut down on crime. | 4.1% | 64% | 36% | 4% | 10% | 31% | 55% | 35% | 37% | 16% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 28% | 32% | 0% |
3. His leadership has felt chaotic, and the city doesn’t seem to be improving under him. | 29.2% | 47% | 53% | 17% | 26% | 23% | 34% | 47% | 21% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 36% | 29% | 22% | 2% |
4. His recent dealings on immigration and the DOJ dropping his corruption case make it look like he’s now in Trump’s pocket. | 59.6% | 41% | 59% | 13% | 28% | 32% | 28% | 54% | 24% | 13% | 9% | 11% | 35% | 28% | 23% | 3% |
5. I really don’t know enough about him to have a strong opinion. | 0.9% | 65% | 35% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 73% | 59% | 41% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 59% | 23% | 17% | 0% |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. He’s a strong progressive who knows how to manage the city’s budget responsibly. | 29.1% | 46% | 54% | 14% | 32% | 24% | 30% | 62% | 21% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 38% | 31% | 16% | 4% |
2. He fights for things like affordable housing and fair wages for workers. | 12.9% | 49% | 51% | 18% | 37% | 32% | 13% | 51% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 44% | 24% | 22% | 2% |
3. As a progressive, his ideas sound great, but they don’t always seem realistic. | 8.7% | 46% | 54% | 9% | 24% | 33% | 34% | 56% | 20% | 7% | 18% | 3% | 33% | 25% | 37% | 2% |
4. He’s been quick to criticize others, but does he actually have solutions that work? | 16.0% | 47% | 53% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 41% | 53% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 10% | 35% | 29% | 24% | 2% |
5. I really don’t know enough about him to have a strong opinion. | 33.2% | 37% | 63% | 10% | 19% | 34% | 36% | 36% | 40% | 16% | 7% | 17% | 27% | 26% | 28% | 2% |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HSI | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. She’s a strong advocate for workers and has fought for higher wages and labor protections. | 17.7% | 47% | 53% | 24% | 36% | 25% | 15% | 60% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 11% | 40% | 24% | 21% | 3% |
2. She understands the struggles of everyday New Yorkers and works to fix them. | 13.7% | 40% | 60% | 18% | 34% | 25% | 23% | 54% | 21% | 19% | 6% | 19% | 26% | 27% | 25% | 3% |
3. Some of her ideas seem too far-left and unrealistic to be effective. | 11.9% | 54% | 46% | 9% | 25% | 22% | 44% | 54% | 16% | 5% | 25% | 7% | 32% | 25% | 36% | 1% |
4. She’s been involved in a lot of infighting with other Democrats instead of working together. | 6.8% | 55% | 45% | 18% | 31% | 30% | 21% | 53% | 13% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 29% | 21% | 41% | 2% |
5. I really don’t know enough about her to have a strong opinion. | 49.9% | 40% | 60% | 8% | 19% | 33% | 39% | 45% | 34% | 13% | 9% | 11% | 36% | 31% | 19% | 3% |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. He’s a bold progressive who fights for tenants' rights and works to make housing more affordable. | 19.50% | 43% | 57% | 33% | 41% | 14% | 12% | 61% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 13% | 42% | 23% | 20% | 2% |
2. He’s working to make public transportation better and more accessible for everyone. | 3.30% | 43% | 57% | 12% | 49% | 27% | 12% | 74% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 42% | 18% | 25% | 7% |
3. His ideas sound good, but they don’t seem realistic for running a city like New York. | 11.30% | 51% | 49% | 17% | 37% | 27% | 19% | 49% | 16% | 13% | 22% | 10% | 37% | 27% | 26% | 1% |
4. His focus on international politics, like Israel-Palestine, is divisive and takes away from the real issues the city faces. | 14.30% | 51% | 49% | 11% | 21% | 28% | 40% | 55% | 19% | 9% | 18% | 9% | 27% | 32% | 31% | 1% |
5. I really don’t know enough about him to have a strong opinion. | 51.60% | 40% | 60% | 5% | 16% | 37% | 42% | 43% | 34% | 16% | 7% | 12% | 32% | 29% | 23% | 3% |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. Brings financial expertise and a business-minded approach that could improve the city’s budget and efficiency. | 7.5% | 46% | 54% | 16% | 22% | 29% | 33% | 41% | 22% | 8% | 29% | 12% | 26% | 31% | 29% | 2% |
2. His experience in philanthropy and education reform shows a commitment to improving public services. | 2.4% | 25% | 75% | 13% | 32% | 3% | 52% | 60% | 30% | 10% | 0% | 14% | 16% | 34% | 32% | 4% |
3. As a wealthy investor with no political experience, he may struggle to connect with everyday New Yorkers. | 9.9% | 50% | 50% | 13% | 37% | 31% | 19% | 69% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 30% | 32% | 26% | 2% |
4. His Wall Street background raises concerns about whether he really understands the challenges of working-class residents. | 20.8% | 45% | 55% | 23% | 34% | 28% | 16% | 60% | 15% | 11% | 14% | 9% | 41% | 29% | 19% | 2% |
5. I really don’t know enough about him to have a strong opinion. | 59.4% | 43% | 57% | 9% | 21% | 31% | 39% | 44% | 32% | 16% | 8% | 13% | 34% | 26% | 24% | 3% |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. A strong advocate for renters and helped pass major housing protections. | 11.2% | 49% | 51% | 31% | 38% | 18% | 13% | 59% | 23% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 46% | 27% | 12% | 2% |
2. Strong efforts to reform the criminal justice system and enhance voting rights demonstrate his commitment to equity. | 10.0% | 38% | 62% | 8% | 39% | 32% | 21% | 52% | 29% | 11% | 8% | 11% | 48% | 19% | 17% | 5% |
3. His progressive ideas may sound good, but turning them into real change in city government could be tough. | 8.1% | 52% | 48% | 16% | 33% | 30% | 21% | 55% | 20% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 45% | 24% | 20% | 0% |
4. His focus on state level issues may not translate effectively to managing the complexities of New York City governance. | 9.5% | 35% | 65% | 10% | 22% | 23% | 45% | 46% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 6% | 36% | 26% | 32% | 1% |
5. I really don’t know enough about him to have a strong opinion. | 61.1% | 44% | 56% | 11% | 21% | 32% | 36% | 49% | 27% | 14% | 10% | 12% | 28% | 30% | 26% | 3% |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. Extensive experience at various levels of government including the state assembly and the Obama White House. | 12.7% | 44% | 56% | 1% | 22% | 42% | 35% | 43% | 32% | 13% | 12% | 19% | 23% | 34% | 23% | 1% |
2. He’s been active in the Democratic Party for years and knows how to get things done. | 5.7% | 42% | 58% | 21% | 20% | 26% | 32% | 34% | 39% | 20% | 6% | 29% | 20% | 17% | 26% | 8% |
3. He seems to be always running for office but never winning. | 12.6% | 56% | 44% | 15% | 29% | 20% | 36% | 41% | 20% | 11% | 28% | 15% | 28% | 28% | 29% | 0% |
4. His moderate stance may not align with progressive priorities of many New York City voters. | 10.6% | 39% | 61% | 26% | 41% | 18% | 15% | 61% | 17% | 10% | 12% | 5% | 49% | 26% | 16% | 3% |
5. I really don’t know enough about him to have a strong opinion. | 58.3% | 42% | 58% | 12% | 23% | 31% | 34% | 53% | 26% | 14% | 6% | 9% | 37% | 27% | 25% | 3% |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. Eric Adams | 7.4% | 48% | 52% | 5% | 9% | 24% | 63% | 36% | 48% | 16% | 0% | 20% | 29% | 10% | 39% | 2% |
2. Brad Lander | 13.9% | 46% | 54% | 14% | 30% | 26% | 30% | 64% | 17% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 48% | 30% | 18% | 0% |
3. Jessica Ramos | 3.7% | 42% | 58% | 9% | 40% | 24% | 26% | 53% | 16% | 11% | 21% | 11% | 45% | 17% | 27% | 0% |
4. Scott Stringer | 8.3% | 44% | 56% | 9% | 16% | 25% | 50% | 48% | 37% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 18% | 42% | 30% | 5% |
5. Andrew Cuomo | 37.1% | 40% | 60% | 4% | 13% | 31% | 52% | 34% | 35% | 23% | 8% | 16% | 29% | 30% | 20% | 5% |
6. Michael Blake | 2.8% | 37% | 63% | 0% | 9% | 32% | 60% | 27% | 52% | 15% | 5% | 52% | 3% | 18% | 23% | 4% |
7. Zellnor Myrie | 4.6% | 41% | 59% | 17% | 40% | 27% | 16% | 61% | 34% | 5% | 0% | 8% | 62% | 20% | 10% | 0% |
8. Zohan Mamdani | 12.0% | 44% | 56% | 40% | 40% | 8% | 12% | 59% | 15% | 16% | 10% | 9% | 45% | 22% | 22% | 3% |
9. Whitney Tilson | 1.9% | 30% | 70% | 11% | 14% | 50% | 25% | 72% | 5% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 26% | 46% | 28% | 0% |
10. Undecided | 8.3% | 25% | 75% | 19% | 25% | 22% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 12% | 22% | 4% | 32% | 31% | 29% | 4% |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | County | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | Kings | New York | Queens | Richmond |
1. Progressive/Left-Wing | 45.2% | 45% | 55% | 20% | 37% | 23% | 21% | 59% | 20% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 42% | 26% | 21% | 2% |
2. Moderate/Centrist | 50.5% | 43% | 57% | 7% | 17% | 35% | 41% | 43% | 31% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 29% | 30% | 26% | 3% |
3. Conservative/Right-Wing | 4.3% | 34% | 66% | 4% | 13% | 31% | 51% | 44% | 27% | 29% | 0% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 26% | 8% |
Total | Gender | Age | Race/Ethnic | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANSWERS | Total | Men | Women | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | WHT | BLK | HIS | ASN | Bronx | ||||
1. Traditional Media (TV/Radio/Newspapers) | 43.10% | 44% | 56% | 10% | 24% | 30% | 36% | 52% | 25% | 14% | 9% | 11% | 33% | 30% | 23% | 3% |
2. Social Media Platforms (Twitter/X, Facebook/Instagram/Meta, TikTok, etc) | 22.30% | 46% | 54% | 21% | 35% | 24% | 20% | 47% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 38% | 25% | 22% | 2% |
3. Community Leaders or Organizations | 21.20% | 35% | 65% | 19% | 29% | 22% | 30% | 44% | 28% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 38% | 24% | 24% | 2% |
4. Personal Interactions with Candidates | 12.10% | 43% | 57% | 13% | 30% | 31% | 27% | 48% | 27% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 39% | 22% | 24% | 4% |
5. Other (please specify) | 7.00% | 41% | 59% | 8% | 25% | 32% | 35% | 48% | 22% | 18% | 12% | 12% | 31% | 33% | 21% | 2% |
The poll was conducted by Gotham Polling & Analytics between February 20 and February 25, 2025, to assess Democratic voter preferences in New York’s Mayor’s race ahead of the June primary election.
– Sample Size: 1653 total respondents, 1,567 of whom indicated they were “very likely” or “somewhat likely” to vote in the upcoming primary.
– Survey Mode: Text message invitations were sent to respondents, who then completed a web based survey.
– Population: The poll targeted registered Democratic voters in New York City who were most likely to vote in the primary based on our behavior model, drawn from the L2-data.com voter registration database.
– Sampling Method: Respondents were randomly selected from the voter registration database, with efforts to ensure representation across key demographic groups such as age, gender and ethnicity as well as location. Surveys were completed by those who qualified as likely voters or somewhat likely to vote.
– Weighting: The data was weighted to reflect the demographic and geographic composition of New York City’s Democratic primary voters, modeled around previous voter turnout and other variables. The weighting accounted for variables such as age, gender, ethnicity group and borough.
– Margin of Error: ±2.41% at a 95% confidence interval. This margin applies to the full sample of 1,653 respondents.
– Survey Completion: Respondents who indicated they were either very likely to vote or somewhat likely were eligible to complete the full survey.
– This survey was sponsored by the Greater New York Chamber of Commerce (https://chamber.nyc/).