Categories: Results

Poll: NYC Mayor Democratic Primary Feb 2025

Poll: NYC Mayor Democratic Primary Feb 2025 Analysis

NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary: Ranked-Choice Voting Analysis Highlights Cuomo’s Lead, Challenges for Adams and Opportunities for Other Candidates.

A recent Gotham Polling & Analytics survey reveals that former Governor Andrew Cuomo maintains a significant advantage in the Democratic primary for New York City Mayor, especially when considering ranked-choice voting outcomes.

Poll Details:

  • Sample Size: 1,653 total respondents; 1,567 identified as “very likely” or “somewhat likely” to vote in the upcoming primary.
  • Survey Mode: Text message invitations leading to a web-based survey.
  • Population: Registered Democratic voters in New York City, selected based on voting likelihood from the L2-data.com voter registration database.
  • Sampling Method: Random selection ensuring representation across demographics such as age, gender, ethnicity, and location.
  • Weighting: Data adjusted to reflect the demographic and geographic composition of likely Democratic primary voters, considering variables like age, gender, ethnicity, and borough.
  • Margin of Error: ±2.41% at a 95% confidence interval for the full sample.


Ranked-Choice Voting Outcomes:

In the final (seventh) round of ranked-choice voting, the distribution was as follows:

  • Andrew Cuomo: 401 votes (51%)
  • Brad Lander: 242 votes (31%)
  • Zohan Mamdani: 139 votes (18%)

These results indicate that Cuomo secures a majority in the final round, highlighting his strong position in the race.

Voter Preferences:

  • Cuomo’s Support Base: Predominantly older voters (52% aged 65+), with 60% identifying as female.
  • Lander’s Support Base: Skews younger, with 30% aged 35-49, and 54% female.
  • Mamdani’s Support Base: Notably younger, with 40% aged 18-34, and 56% female.


Candidate Favorability:

  • Eric Adams: 84% of respondents indicated they could not vote for him.
  • Brad Lander: 68% could vote for him, 32% could not.
  • Andrew Cuomo: 58% could vote for him, 42% could not.


Voter Priorities:

  • Crime and Public Safety: 26.3% prioritize this issue.
  • Housing Affordability: 30.6%
  • Economic Issues: 19.6%
  • Government Accountability: 18.6%
  • Quality of Life Issues: 26.7%


Observations:

  • Incumbent Discontent: A significant 84% of respondents are unwilling to support Mayor Eric Adams, reflecting widespread dissatisfaction.
  • Cuomo’s Lead: Despite past controversies, Cuomo’s lead suggests a potential comeback, though 42% of voters are opposed to supporting him.
  • Progressive Candidates: Candidates like Lander and Mamdani are gaining traction, particularly among younger voters, indicating a possible shift towards progressive policies, though older voters, which tend to dominate primaries, still favor more moderate candidates.

The data underscores a competitive primary, with voter dissatisfaction playing a pivotal role in shaping the race.

Q1: How likely are you to vote in the Democratic primary for New York City Mayor on June 25, 2025?

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. Very Likely90.2%41%59%12%22%26%40%45%30%16%9%14%34%27%23%3%
2. Somewhat Likely3.5%40%61%15%17%33%35%42%40%18%0%7%42%22%27%3%
3. Unsure3.7%31%69%8%13%17%62%38%21%40%0%14%25%14%41%6%
4. Not Likely2.6%42%58%5%20%22%53%43%34%18%5%10%52%18%19%2%

Q2: How closely do you follow news and developments about New York City politics?

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. Very closely58.2%46%54%11%20%27%42%48%29%15%8%14%33%24%26%3%
2. Somewhat closely38.0%39%61%14%23%26%37%44%29%17%10%12%34%30%20%4%
3. Not very closely3.7%27%73%19%22%21%37%27%38%22%13%26%31%28%15%0%
4. Not at all0.1%0%100%0%0%100%0%38%62%0%0%62%0%0%38%0%

Q3: Which of the following candidates for Mayor of New York City could you vote for in the June 25 primary?

Stacked Comparison of 'Could Vote For' vs 'Could NOT Vote For' by Candidate

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1a. Eric Adams - I could vote for16%48%52%4%12%31%53%39%45%13%2%20%30%21%27%2%
1b. Eric Adams - I could NOT vote for84%58%42%16%26%26%32%50%24%16%10%11%34%29%23%4%
2a. Brad Lander - I could vote for68%55%45%15%30%27%28%57%20%11%12%8%38%30%21%3%
2b. Brad Lander - I could NOT vote for32%55%45%11%18%27%43%42%29%20%8%17%31%19%30%3%
3a. Jessica Ramos - I could vote for62%54%46%17%31%27%25%51%22%18%10%12%38%26%23%2%
3b. Jessica Ramos - I could NOT vote for38%53%47%11%18%29%42%49%28%15%8%13%29%24%30%3%
4a. Scott Stringer - I could vote for63%56%44%10%26%28%36%52%24%13%11%9%35%29%25%3%
4b. Scott Stringer - I could NOT vote for37%55%45%19%23%27%31%51%24%17%7%15%36%24%22%3%
5a. Andrew Cuomo - I could vote for58%56%44%7%15%30%48%37%38%19%6%17%28%26%26%3%
5b. Andrew Cuomo - I could NOT vote for42%55%45%21%32%22%25%62%15%10%13%8%40%28%20%4%
6a. Michael Blake - I could vote for44%53%47%16%29%29%26%49%24%15%12%15%33%28%22%3%
6b. Michael Blake - I could NOT vote for56%55%45%13%23%26%38%51%23%17%8%11%34%24%28%3%
7a. Zellnor Myrie - I could vote for54%53%47%18%34%26%22%54%22%12%12%9%43%28%18%2%
7b. Zellnor Myrie - I could NOT vote for46%57%43%10%18%27%45%48%26%18%8%16%28%23%30%3%
8a. Zohan Mamdani - I could vote for51%58%42%21%39%19%22%56%19%13%12%9%43%28%19%2%
8b. Zohan Mamdani - I could NOT vote for49%52%48%8%17%31%44%45%28%18%9%16%28%23%30%3%
9a. Whitney Tilson - I could vote for36%52%48%12%30%33%25%52%25%12%11%12%34%31%20%2%
9b. Whitney Tilson - I could NOT vote for64%55%45%16%24%24%36%50%23%18%10%12%35%23%27%3%

Q4: Please rank your choices for Mayor of New York City in order of your preference.

Ranked Choice Voting Breakdown by Candidate

TotalRanked Choice
ANSWERSTotal1st2nd3rd4th5th
1. Eric Adams116732112101
2. Brad Lander4731491601113617
3. Jessica Ramos386521061186742
4. Scott Stringer42292156994828
5. Andrew Cuomo46832785251813
6. Michael Blake1891533524643
7. Zellnor Myrie3095481616449
8. Zohan Mamdani28312239425228
9. Whitney Tilson1491828223745

Q5: If your first-choice candidate were not running, who would you most likely expect to vote for?

Ranked Choice Voting Breakdown by Candidate

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. Eric Adams4.4%51%49%6%13%21%60%39%39%7%14%14%17%40%27%2%
2. Brad Lander19.6%45%55%17%24%23%36%54%25%15%6%7%37%32%19%5%
3. Jessica Ramos14.7%39%61%25%29%19%27%40%25%25%10%12%31%30%24%3%
4. Scott Stringer20.7%41%59%5%19%27%49%44%32%11%13%10%36%26%24%3%
5. Andrew Cuomo19.2%38%62%7%10%32%51%34%44%21%1%22%22%25%27%4%
6. Michael Blake3.8%51%49%12%24%38%26%38%27%16%19%21%29%23%23%4%
7. Zellnor Myrie10.0%34%66%9%28%23%40%51%22%21%6%5%62%19%12%2%
8. Zohan Mamdani4.5%32%68%19%43%15%23%59%20%8%13%8%44%23%26%0%
9. Whitney Tilson3.1%44%56%12%19%43%26%48%27%9%16%19%19%27%36%0%

Q6: What qualities are most important to you in a candidate for Mayor? Select up to three.

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. Proven Leadership Experience28.4%44%56%7%18%33%41%51%27%15%7%10%33%29%25%4%
2. Progressive Vision23.0%47%53%22%35%22%21%56%22%12%10%14%38%28%19%1%
3. Ability to Manage Complex Crises33.2%41%59%10%24%33%33%51%23%14%13%10%33%30%23%3%
4. Strong Ethical Standards38.9%44%56%14%27%29%29%51%26%12%11%11%34%29%23%3%
5. Focus on Economic Development24.9%43%57%11%23%32%35%43%27%17%14%13%31%25%26%4%
6. Commitment to Social Justice24.0%36%64%17%28%29%26%48%34%13%5%15%34%25%23%3%

Q7: What are the most important issues in this election to you that you want to see a candidate address? Select up to three.

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. Crime and Public Safety – Keep the city safe while making sure policing is fair and effective. Voters want real plans, not just tough talk.26.3%45%55%5%18%34%42%43%28%16%13%13%27%28%28%4%
2. Housing Affordability – Make it easier for people to afford a place to live, whether through more housing, better rent protections, or smarter zoning laws.30.6%40%60%18%30%27%24%46%29%15%9%15%37%26%21%2%
3. Economic Issues – Help create good-paying jobs, keep small businesses thriving, and find ways to make everyday life more affordable.19.6%41%59%8%23%38%31%50%32%11%7%8%36%26%26%3%
4. Government Corruption – Be transparent, crack down on waste and favoritism, and restore trust in city leadership. Government Accountability – Combating corruption and ensuring transparency.18.6%43%57%12%23%27%37%45%32%13%9%16%35%24%22%3%
5. Migrant Crisis – Come up with a clear and realistic plan to manage asylum seekers, provide services, and make sure it doesn’t overwhelm city resources.9.5%50%50%10%18%28%45%47%25%15%12%8%30%28%28%6%
6. Congestion Pricing and Transportation – Improve public transit, fix the subway, and make sure congestion pricing actually benefits riders and drivers.12.6%59%41%17%36%25%22%64%13%11%12%4%38%35%22%2%
7. Education – Invest in public schools, support teachers, and make sure kids are getting the education they need to succeed.19.9%43%57%14%28%28%30%47%31%15%8%18%32%26%21%2%
8. Climate Change and Environmental Policy – Protect the city from flooding, reduce pollution, and push for a cleaner and greener future.9.4%36%64%17%28%20%35%67%18%6%9%7%44%24%20%5%
9. Reproductive Rights and Civil Liberties – Stand up for abortion rights, LGBTQ+ protections, and other freedoms that people feel are under threat.12.2%34%66%21%26%27%26%56%27%10%7%11%37%31%18%3%
10. Quality of Life Issues – Clean up the streets, address homelessness, and make New York a better place to live, work, and visit.26.7%41%59%11%23%32%35%51%21%14%14%9%30%30%26%4%

Q8: What are the most important issues in this election to you that you want to see a candidate address? Select up to three.

My Example Heading

My Other Example Heading

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. Crime and Public Safety – Keep the city safe while making sure policing is fair and effective. Voters want real plans, not just tough talk.26.3%45%55%5%18%34%42%43%28%16%13%13%27%28%28%4%
2. Housing Affordability – Make it easier for people to afford a place to live, whether through more housing, better rent protections, or smarter zoning laws.30.6%40%60%18%30%27%24%46%29%15%9%15%37%26%21%2%
3. Economic Issues – Help create good-paying jobs, keep small businesses thriving, and find ways to make everyday life more affordable.19.6%41%59%8%23%38%31%50%32%11%7%8%36%26%26%3%
4. Government Corruption – Be transparent, crack down on waste and favoritism, and restore trust in city leadership. Government Accountability – Combating corruption and ensuring transparency.18.6%43%57%12%23%27%37%45%32%13%9%16%35%24%22%3%
5. Migrant Crisis – Come up with a clear and realistic plan to manage asylum seekers, provide services, and make sure it doesn’t overwhelm city resources.9.5%50%50%10%18%28%45%47%25%15%12%8%30%28%28%6%
6. Congestion Pricing and Transportation – Improve public transit, fix the subway, and make sure congestion pricing actually benefits riders and drivers.12.6%59%41%17%36%25%22%64%13%11%12%4%38%35%22%2%
7. Education – Invest in public schools, support teachers, and make sure kids are getting the education they need to succeed.19.9%43%57%14%28%28%30%47%31%15%8%18%32%26%21%2%
8. Climate Change and Environmental Policy – Protect the city from flooding, reduce pollution, and push for a cleaner and greener future.9.4%36%64%17%28%20%35%67%18%6%9%7%44%24%20%5%
9. Reproductive Rights and Civil Liberties – Stand up for abortion rights, LGBTQ+ protections, and other freedoms that people feel are under threat.12.2%34%66%21%26%27%26%56%27%10%7%11%37%31%18%3%
10. Quality of Life Issues – Clean up the streets, address homelessness, and make New York a better place to live, work, and visit.26.7%41%59%11%23%32%35%51%21%14%14%9%30%30%26%4%

Q9: Andrew Cuomo served as the Governor of New York from 2011 to 2021 and is a potential candidate for New York City Mayor. When you think of Andrew Cuomo, which of these statements best represents your thoughts on him as a candidate?

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. He’s a tough leader who knows how to get big things done.20.3%32%68%8%17%32%43%33%39%21%6%17%29%24%27%3%
2. He handled major crises like COVID and helped rebuild the state’s infrastructure.34.5%41%59%4%12%31%52%36%37%20%7%15%28%30%23%4%
3. His handling of nursing home deaths during COVID was a major failure.4.7%37%63%16%22%17%46%55%39%2%4%3%49%18%25%4%
4. His history of scandals and abuse of power makes him unfit for office.39.1%45%55%21%32%20%26%57%19%12%12%9%39%28%22%3%
5. I really don’t know enough about him to have a strong opinion.1.4%49%51%8%9%0%84%37%28%35%0%8%73%20%0%0%

Q10: Scott Stringer is the former New York City Comptroller and Manhattan Borough President. When you think of Scott Stringer, which of these statements best represents your thoughts on him as a candidate?

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. He knows New York City’s budget inside and out and can help fix its finances.34.4%45%55%7%19%33%40%48%32%12%8%9%27%29%30%5%
2. He’s been a champion for affordable housing and tenant rights.8.5%48%52%8%33%25%34%53%24%12%10%12%36%32%17%2%
3. He’s been in government forever, but has he really changed anything?17.5%44%56%9%33%25%33%56%20%15%8%11%39%29%18%2%
4. The allegations from his last campaign still raise red flags for me.20.8%49%51%24%29%27%20%57%12%12%18%11%36%27%25%1%
5. I really don’t know enough about him to have a strong opinion.18.8%34%66%17%21%30%32%39%36%16%9%18%40%22%19%1%

Q11: Eric Adams is the current Mayor of New York City, serving since 2022, and a former NYPD officer. When you think of Eric Adams, which of these statements best represents your thoughts on him as a candidate?

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. He understands the challenges of running a big city and brings real experience.6.2%36%64%3%14%31%52%33%60%7%0%28%23%14%31%4%
2. He has helped make the city safer and cut down on crime.4.1%64%36%4%10%31%55%35%37%16%12%17%23%28%32%0%
3. His leadership has felt chaotic, and the city doesn’t seem to be improving under him.29.2%47%53%17%26%23%34%47%21%17%16%11%36%29%22%2%
4. His recent dealings on immigration and the DOJ dropping his corruption case make it look like he’s now in Trump’s pocket.59.6%41%59%13%28%32%28%54%24%13%9%11%35%28%23%3%
5. I really don’t know enough about him to have a strong opinion.0.9%65%35%0%0%27%73%59%41%0%0%0%59%23%17%0%

Q12: Brad Lander has served as the New York City Comptroller since 2022 and was previously a City Council member. When you think of Brad Lander, which of these statements best represents your thoughts on him as a candidate?

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. He’s a strong progressive who knows how to manage the city’s budget responsibly.29.1%46%54%14%32%24%30%62%21%10%8%12%38%31%16%4%
2. He fights for things like affordable housing and fair wages for workers.12.9%49%51%18%37%32%13%51%24%15%10%8%44%24%22%2%
3. As a progressive, his ideas sound great, but they don’t always seem realistic.8.7%46%54%9%24%33%34%56%20%7%18%3%33%25%37%2%
4. He’s been quick to criticize others, but does he actually have solutions that work?16.0%47%53%15%20%25%41%53%12%16%19%10%35%29%24%2%
5. I really don’t know enough about him to have a strong opinion.33.2%37%63%10%19%34%36%36%40%16%7%17%27%26%28%2%

Q13: Jessica Ramos is a New York State Senator representing parts of Queens. When you think of Jessica Ramos, which of these statements best represents your thoughts on her as a candidate?

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHSIASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. She’s a strong advocate for workers and has fought for higher wages and labor protections.17.7%47%53%24%36%25%15%60%20%12%8%11%40%24%21%3%
2. She understands the struggles of everyday New Yorkers and works to fix them.13.7%40%60%18%34%25%23%54%21%19%6%19%26%27%25%3%
3. Some of her ideas seem too far-left and unrealistic to be effective.11.9%54%46%9%25%22%44%54%16%5%25%7%32%25%36%1%
4. She’s been involved in a lot of infighting with other Democrats instead of working together.6.8%55%45%18%31%30%21%53%13%21%13%8%29%21%41%2%
5. I really don’t know enough about her to have a strong opinion.49.9%40%60%8%19%33%39%45%34%13%9%11%36%31%19%3%

Q14: Zohran Mamdani is a New York State Assembly member representing parts of Queens and a member of the Democratic Socialists of America. When you think of Zohran Mamdani, which of these statements best represents your thoughts on him as a candidate?

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. He’s a bold progressive who fights for tenants' rights and works to make housing more affordable.19.50%43%57%33%41%14%12%61%17%14%9%13%42%23%20%2%
2. He’s working to make public transportation better and more accessible for everyone.3.30%43%57%12%49%27%12%74%26%0%0%9%42%18%25%7%
3. His ideas sound good, but they don’t seem realistic for running a city like New York.11.30%51%49%17%37%27%19%49%16%13%22%10%37%27%26%1%
4. His focus on international politics, like Israel-Palestine, is divisive and takes away from the real issues the city faces.14.30%51%49%11%21%28%40%55%19%9%18%9%27%32%31%1%
5. I really don’t know enough about him to have a strong opinion.51.60%40%60%5%16%37%42%43%34%16%7%12%32%29%23%3%

Q15: Whitney Tilson is an investor, education advocate, former hedge fund manager, and philanthropist. When you think of Whitney Tilson, which of these statements best represents your thoughts on him as a candidate?

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. Brings financial expertise and a business-minded approach that could improve the city’s budget and efficiency.7.5%46%54%16%22%29%33%41%22%8%29%12%26%31%29%2%
2. His experience in philanthropy and education reform shows a commitment to improving public services.2.4%25%75%13%32%3%52%60%30%10%0%14%16%34%32%4%
3. As a wealthy investor with no political experience, he may struggle to connect with everyday New Yorkers.9.9%50%50%13%37%31%19%69%16%10%5%9%30%32%26%2%
4. His Wall Street background raises concerns about whether he really understands the challenges of working-class residents.20.8%45%55%23%34%28%16%60%15%11%14%9%41%29%19%2%
5. I really don’t know enough about him to have a strong opinion.59.4%43%57%9%21%31%39%44%32%16%8%13%34%26%24%3%

Q16: Zellnor Myrie is a New York State Senator representing Brooklyn’s 20th District since 2019. When you think of Zellnor Myrie, which of these statements best represents your thoughts on him as a candidate?

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. A strong advocate for renters and helped pass major housing protections.11.2%49%51%31%38%18%13%59%23%9%8%14%46%27%12%2%
2. Strong efforts to reform the criminal justice system and enhance voting rights demonstrate his commitment to equity.10.0%38%62%8%39%32%21%52%29%11%8%11%48%19%17%5%
3. His progressive ideas may sound good, but turning them into real change in city government could be tough.8.1%52%48%16%33%30%21%55%20%13%12%10%45%24%20%0%
4. His focus on state level issues may not translate effectively to managing the complexities of New York City governance.9.5%35%65%10%22%23%45%46%16%20%18%6%36%26%32%1%
5. I really don’t know enough about him to have a strong opinion.61.1%44%56%11%21%32%36%49%27%14%10%12%28%30%26%3%

Q17: Michael Blake is a former New York State Assembly Member from the Bronx who served as an aide during the Obama administration and was Vice Chair of the Democratic National Committee. When you think of Michael Blake, which of these statements best represents your thoughts on him as a candidate?

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. Extensive experience at various levels of government including the state assembly and the Obama White House.12.7%44%56%1%22%42%35%43%32%13%12%19%23%34%23%1%
2. He’s been active in the Democratic Party for years and knows how to get things done.5.7%42%58%21%20%26%32%34%39%20%6%29%20%17%26%8%
3. He seems to be always running for office but never winning.12.6%56%44%15%29%20%36%41%20%11%28%15%28%28%29%0%
4. His moderate stance may not align with progressive priorities of many New York City voters.10.6%39%61%26%41%18%15%61%17%10%12%5%49%26%16%3%
5. I really don’t know enough about him to have a strong opinion.58.3%42%58%12%23%31%34%53%26%14%6%9%37%27%25%3%

Q18: If the election were held today, who would you expect to vote for as your first-choice candidate?

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. Eric Adams7.4%48%52%5%9%24%63%36%48%16%0%20%29%10%39%2%
2. Brad Lander13.9%46%54%14%30%26%30%64%17%13%6%5%48%30%18%0%
3. Jessica Ramos3.7%42%58%9%40%24%26%53%16%11%21%11%45%17%27%0%
4. Scott Stringer8.3%44%56%9%16%25%50%48%37%10%5%5%18%42%30%5%
5. Andrew Cuomo37.1%40%60%4%13%31%52%34%35%23%8%16%29%30%20%5%
6. Michael Blake2.8%37%63%0%9%32%60%27%52%15%5%52%3%18%23%4%
7. Zellnor Myrie4.6%41%59%17%40%27%16%61%34%5%0%8%62%20%10%0%
8. Zohan Mamdani12.0%44%56%40%40%8%12%59%15%16%10%9%45%22%22%3%
9. Whitney Tilson1.9%30%70%11%14%50%25%72%5%0%22%0%26%46%28%0%
10. Undecided8.3%25%75%19%25%22%33%33%33%12%22%4%32%31%29%4%

Q19: How would you describe your political views within the Democratic Party?

TotalGenderAgeRace/EthnicCounty
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronxKingsNew YorkQueensRichmond
1. Progressive/Left-Wing45.2%45%55%20%37%23%21%59%20%11%10%9%42%26%21%2%
2. Moderate/Centrist50.5%43%57%7%17%35%41%43%31%14%11%13%29%30%26%3%
3. Conservative/Right-Wing4.3%34%66%4%13%31%51%44%27%29%0%21%23%21%26%8%

Q20: What sources most influence your views about the candidates? Select all that apply.

TotalGenderAgeRace/Ethnic
ANSWERSTotalMenWomen18-3435-4950-6465+WHTBLKHISASNBronx
1. Traditional Media (TV/Radio/Newspapers)43.10%44%56%10%24%30%36%52%25%14%9%11%33%30%23%3%
2. Social Media Platforms (Twitter/X, Facebook/Instagram/Meta, TikTok, etc)22.30%46%54%21%35%24%20%47%25%17%12%13%38%25%22%2%
3. Community Leaders or Organizations21.20%35%65%19%29%22%30%44%28%15%13%12%38%24%24%2%
4. Personal Interactions with Candidates12.10%43%57%13%30%31%27%48%27%13%11%11%39%22%24%4%
5. Other (please specify)7.00%41%59%8%25%32%35%48%22%18%12%12%31%33%21%2%

Methodology Statement: Gotham Polling & Analytics

The poll was conducted by Gotham Polling & Analytics between February 20 and February 25, 2025, to assess Democratic voter preferences in New York’s Mayor’s race ahead of the June primary election.

Key Details:

– Sample Size: 1653 total respondents, 1,567 of whom indicated they were “very likely” or “somewhat likely” to vote in the upcoming primary.

– Survey Mode: Text message invitations were sent to respondents, who then completed a web based survey.

– Population: The poll targeted registered Democratic voters in New York City who were most likely to vote in the primary based on our behavior model, drawn from the L2-data.com voter registration database.

– Sampling Method: Respondents were randomly selected from the voter registration database, with efforts to ensure representation across key demographic groups such as age, gender and ethnicity as well as location. Surveys were completed by those who qualified as likely voters or somewhat  likely to vote.

– Weighting: The data was weighted to reflect the demographic and geographic composition of New York City’s Democratic primary voters, modeled around previous voter turnout and other variables. The weighting accounted for variables such as age, gender, ethnicity group and borough. 

– Margin of Error: ±2.41% at a 95% confidence interval. This margin applies to the full sample of 1,653 respondents.

– Survey Completion: Respondents who indicated they were either very likely to vote or somewhat likely were eligible to complete the full survey.

– This survey was sponsored by the Greater New York Chamber of Commerce (https://chamber.nyc/).

Stephen Graves

Share
Published by
Stephen Graves
3 months ago

Recent Posts

How Does Sentiment Analysis Impact Political Strategy?

Sampling is the backbone of polling, determining how well a subset of people (the sample)…

3 weeks ago

What Is the Difference Between Qualitative and Quantitative Polling?

Sampling is the backbone of polling, determining how well a subset of people (the sample)…

3 weeks ago

Why Do Some Polls Get Election Predictions Wrong?

Sampling is the backbone of polling, determining how well a subset of people (the sample)…

3 weeks ago

How Can Big Data Improve Polling Accuracy?

Sampling is the backbone of polling, determining how well a subset of people (the sample)…

3 weeks ago

What Are the Different Types of Polling Methods?

Sampling is the backbone of polling, determining how well a subset of people (the sample)…

3 weeks ago

Echoes Sentinel: Majority of NJ voters in non-presidential election years are 50 and older, report shows

Sampling is the backbone of polling, determining how well a subset of people (the sample)…

4 weeks ago