Sampling is the backbone of polling, determining how well a subset of people (the sample) can represent the larger population’s views. In this article, we’ll explore how different sampling techniques influence polling accuracy, the challenges inherent in creating representative samples, and the weighting methods used to correct imbalances.
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October 30, 2024
Analysis: The Influence of Older Voters – New York Voter Participation Assessment – October 2024
New York State State Analysis Executive Summary In the June 2024 primary, voters age 50 and over represented 72% of the total turnout, reaffirming their status as the dominant voting bloc in New York State and comprising 4 out of 5 voters in many counties. This trend is consistent with their strong presence in general […]
New York Post by Craig McCarthy D’Esposito, GillenThe two candidates for the 4th Congressional District are in a dead heat, according to a new poll. The contentious race between GOP Rep. Anthony D’Esposito and Democrat Laura Gillen appears to be much closer than previously believed in New York’s 4th Congressional District, a new poll shows. The poll […]
NY-4 Congressional Race Locked in a Statistical Tie as Key Issues Drive Voter Preferences The survey of likely voters in CD4, shows a razor-thin margin between incumbent Republican Anthony D’Esposito and Democratic challenger Laura Gillen. With 46% of likely voters supporting D’Esposito and 45% backing Gillen, the race is currently too close to call, falling […]