By Craig McCarthy A new poll has a pair of Democratic socialist lawmakers among the frontrunners in the race for Gracie Mansion — but still lagging behind ex-New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo, who is expected to soon announce his candidacy for mayor. City Comptroller Brad Lander and state Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani appear to split the […]
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By NICK REISMAN, JEFF COLTIN and EMILY NGO Two of Gov. Kathy Hochul’s potential 2026 challengers are yet to turn 40 — but their success in New York politics could be decided by older voters. People under age 50 are trending away from registering in either party, said Stephen Graves, president of Gotham Polling and Analytics. As […]
Sampling is the backbone of polling, determining how well a subset of people (the sample) can represent the larger population’s views. In this article, we’ll explore how different sampling techniques influence polling accuracy, the challenges inherent in creating representative samples, and the weighting methods used to correct imbalances.
November 7, 2024
The Washington Times: New York Rep. Anthony D’Esposito loses reelection to Democrat Laura Gillen
by Kerry Picket Rep. Anthony D’Esposito of New York, a Republican saddled with a personal scandal in a competitive district, lost his bid for reelection by Democrat Laura Gillen, a lawyer and former Hempstead Town supervisor. The election in the state’s 4th Congressional District was called by The Associated Press on Thursday at 12:39 p.m. as Ms. Gillen led […]
October 31, 2024
THE LATIN TIMES: Democrat Laura Guillen’s Chances of Flipping New York’s 4th House Seat, According to the Latest Polls
The Latin Times by Michelly Teixeira Polls show a close race in NY’s 4th District as Laura Guillen aims to flip the seat from incumbent Anthony D’Esposito. New York’s 4th Congressional District is set to feature one of the Lower House’s most competitive races, as Democrat Laura Guillen has a solid chance of flipping the […]
By JASON BEEFERMAN NEW YORK MINUTE: Mayor Eric Adams is going out of his way to defend Donald Trump. “I sent out a very clear statement about the comments by some of the people who attended the rally,” Adams said, emphasizing the word some. “I’ve been to many rallies, protests, and I’ve witnessed people stand up at […]
October 25, 2024
The Economist: Andrew Cuomo Plots A Comeback In New York Citynypost: D’Esposito, Gillen In Dead Heat In Contentious Race For 4th Congressional District
New York Post by Craig McCarthy D’Esposito, GillenThe two candidates for the 4th Congressional District are in a dead heat, according to a new poll. The contentious race between GOP Rep. Anthony D’Esposito and Democrat Laura Gillen appears to be much closer than previously believed in New York’s 4th Congressional District, a new poll shows. The poll […]
By JASON BEEFERMAN Doozy or snoozy? Tuesday’s primary has the makings of both, with a fierce congressional fight between Rep. Jamaal Bowman and Westchester County Executive George Latimer dominating headlines while competitive state races have failed to excite voters. Early voting, which ended today, yielded remarkably low turnout compared to the August 2022 primary — […]
by Gotham Polling Candidates running for office should consider putting social security, medicare and aging in place on the front burner after a recent study of the June 28 primaries found that in both New York City and Long Island the largest voting bloc by far were 50-plus aged voters. Among the findings were that a […]